For an essay on Elizabeth Warren’s qualifications for the presidency, click here. For brief descriptions of and links to recent posts, click here. For an inverse-chronological list with links to all posts after January 23, 2017, click here. For a subject-matter index to posts before that date, click here.
I’ve spent virtually all of my several careers studying and applying laws—first the laws of physics, then the laws of men. I haven’t had much close interaction with business people, except as clients in law and consulting practices. Yet two points I heard from them while still a student have stuck in my mind to this day.
One day a business teacher came to our high-school class. He asked all who planned to go into business to raise their hands. Only a few did. Then he advised the rest of us to look at them closely, saying “You’ll be working for them.” Later, I think in college, another business guru advised, “If you don’t have a plan, you’ll be part of someone else’s.”
In essence, that’s where we are as a nation. Since our Marshall Plan at the end of World War II, we in the United States have had no real plan. Sure, we “contained” the Soviet Union. Sure, we pushed for the United Nations, nuclear disarmament, the reduction and elimination of tariffs, and freedom of trade. But all these things were not really plans of our own.
They were not plans
for us. They were plans for others, for the world. They were based on abstract principles of economics that favored neutral, general rules for all.
They didn’t urge us to
do anything but open our markets and get others to open theirs. They just
assumed that we would win in any fair competition, because, after all, we’re Americans, and Americans are “exceptional.” So we thought as the last major power left standing—with our entire territory virtually intact—at the end of humankind’s most terrible war.
Our plan was to have
no plan. We wanted every nation and people to be free to do whatever it pleased, unrestrained by threat of force or economic coercion.
Perhaps it was a utopian vision. Perhaps it was the acme of market economics. Perhaps it was an idle dream of which the “Chicago School” of
laissez faire economists could be proud. But whatever it was, it wasn’t a plan of action to advance our own national success.
Fast forward through the immediate post-war and Cold War eras. What happened to us Americans? We continued to have no plan of our own. None at all. We believed that people, nations and economies thrive best
without any plan, with all free to do what they will.
Soon this modern version of
laissez faire capitalism began to deconstruct the regulatory state that FDR had built to restrain capitalism’s excesses, to protect labor from exploitation and poverty, and to create some semblance of economic equality. By 2008, it had eroded a key additional goal of FDR’s thinkers: to tamp down the treacherous boom-bust business cycle that had caused the Great Depression and similar financial crises virtually every generation since Colonial times, as regularly as a metronome.
As all astute observers now know, the deconstruction process started at least by Reagan’s presidency and is still going on, at full force. But we are all just
beginning to understand another process that’s been going on concurrently. Having no national plan of our own, we became part of China’s plan.
It all started innocently. After our nuclear attacks, when he told his people to surrender, Japan’s Emperor was heard to remark that Japan had emphasized spirit too much, and science too little. At that time, Mao was busy conquering and pacifying a much larger country. But later, in peacetime, he, too, expressed his admiration for English and American medicine and technology. His own doctor, in his famous memoirs, recorded Mao’s admiration for posterity.
Both Japan and China understood that our nation’s supremacy in science and technology had been the source of our power and our victory in the Pacific. And both set out to duplicate them, each in its own way.
Japan used trade and joint ventures with American companies. Our pols were only too happy to oblige, seeing a modernized, re-industrialized Japan as a bulwark against the growing Communist menace.
By the 1980s, Japan had made such startling industrial progress as to have put all wartime devastation behind it. It threatened to displace our own auto industry from our own American markets. American business authors wrote a series of books bemoaning Japan’s success in our own markets and predicting a Japanese market-penetration apocalypse. But owing to an aging Japanese population and revived American innovation, that never quite came to pass.
China had to wait for Mao’s death. Mao was really China’s last emperor. He was a skilled general, but a terrible economist and peacetime leader. He had a lot of crazy ideas about how to run a modern economy, which held China back. But China’s plan took shape soon after Deng Xiaoping took over the Communist Party. Despite its anachronistic name, the Party jumped whole hog into state capitalism.
From the beginning, China’s plan had the simplicity of all great schemes. It used China’s vast markets, the hunger of its workers (and their consequent willingness to work under hard conditions and for low pay) to draw American factories and technology to China. American capitalists were the flies, and the big Chinese markets and low-paid workers were the honey.
That was pretty much it. It was a good plan, and it worked. It still does, as we Americans were and are slow to awaken.
In contrast, the United States had no plan at all, except to let its capitalists wax rich and build their empires. And so they did. They transferred American manufacturing and technology to China with alacrity and expedition. They did a superb job.
They did such a good job that China not only raised almost a billion people out of extreme poverty. Today China also challenges the United States in a number of fields of twenty-first-century technology, including solar panels, electric cars, artificial intelligence and quantum computing. And all because China had a plan and we did not.
That, dear readers, is how we got where we are today. The question is what we Americans do about it now. Do we continue being part of China’s plan, or do we make a plan of our own?
In the past, no one wanted
any American plan.
That sounded menacingly like “industrial policy,” which might restrict our own capitalists’ “freedom.” So we let our jobs and technology drain to China until our working middle class revolted and elected Donald Trump.
Now
President Trump has a plan. His “plan” is to bully and threaten everyone, including China, Mexico, and our allies, and get
them to make plans to set things right. (Apparently he’s never thought of hiring people smart enough to make a good plan of our own. He’s not a good listener anyway. He just wants to bully the folks whose own plans seem to have worked against us.)
Fortunately for humanity, Trump’s bullying plans don’t include war. He doesn’t seem to like war. He used his bone spurs to avoid serving. Like most bullies, he folds when challenged seriously.
So his threats are not bellicose, except fleetingly against Kim and Nicolás Maduro. The big risk is not that his plans will set the world aflame like Hitler’s, but that they just won’t work, or will backfire. Even Republicans are starting to understand how that could happen with big tariffs on Mexican goods.
So what we need, dear readers, is a
good plan. We need one that will work—one that will create millions of good jobs here in America, that will propel American industry into the forefront of twenty-first-century technologies, including renewable energy, and keep it there.
We need a plan that will give our nation a viable, solid future in a very competitive world. We need a plan that will let us stop resting on our postwar laurels, stop pretending that the Internet is all of science and technology, and put our science, technology and industry back on a path to global competitiveness. We also need a plan that includes our own workers, so we don’t worsen our already terrible inequality and create a twenty-first-century class of serfs. We need to forge our clueless capitalists into a team, like the ones that even now are propelling China, Japan and Germany ahead of us in the race for twenty-first-century economic dominance.
There is only one candidate for president who has even the faintest understanding of the basic facts laid out in this essay. Fortunately for all the women who were disappointed last time, she’s a woman, too. She can see what has happened and how to fix it because of the quality of her mind.
Her name is Elizabeth Warren. She can do for us
what the original Elizabeth, the First, did for Tudor England.
Just last week, she
proposed a plan to resurrect our manufacturing and put us in the forefront of “green” technology and the battle against climate change—all at the same time. She’s way ahead of the others, not because she’s more “progressive” or more “left-wing,” but because she’s simply smarter.
She can think for herself and put the pieces together—all of them. She can make a viable plan on her own. And she doesn’t rely on fourth-rate “operatives” to tell her what to think or say.
Do you miss President Obama’s good character and his freedom from corruption and scandal? Warren offers the same benefits, and for much the same reasons. Both were professors before they went into politics. Whatever else professors may be, they are not grifters. And they don’t get tenure by lying, let alone habitually.
Although other Dem candidates were not professors, all have relatively good character, especially when compared to our current president. What distinguishes Warren is the quality of her mind. She has unique abilities: a deep knowledge of banking, economics and finance and uncanny skill in penetrating layers of obfuscation to make the complex simple, the rigged system clear, and the hidden scam plain.
The bosses, oligarchs and their operatives fear her for these skills, and rightly so. She neatly dodges their name-calling and crude categorizing,
saying “I am a capitalist,” just as are most people in this country. But she understands that markets need rules against bullying and cheating. She knows precisely what rules they need and why. Her foes know she can show workers how to save markets and capitalism and our middle class, too, just like FDR.
So Warren is head and shoulders above the rest, with emphasis on her head. Yes, she’s a physically slight woman with a high-pitched voice. But we desperately need a plan of our own that works and someone who can carry it out and adapt it to exigencies. Only Warren
shows clear signs of being able conceive a good plan, sell it to voters, and carry it to fruition against stiff self-interested opposition under ever-changing conditions.
Links to Popular Recent Posts
For analysis of the disastrous effect of our leaders’ failure to take personal responsibility, click here.
For brief comment on China’s Tiananmen Square Massacre and its significance for our species, click here.
For reasons why the Democratic House should pass a big infrastructure bill ASAP, click here.
For an analysis why Nancy Pelosi is right on impeachment, click here.
For an explanation how demagoguing the issue of abortion has ruined our national politics and brought us our two worst presidents, and how we could recover, click here.
For analysis of the Huawei Tech Block and its necessity for maintaining our innovative infrastructure, click here.
For ten reasons, besides global warming, to dump oil as a fuel for ground transportation, click here.
For discussion why we must cooperate with China and how we can compete successfully with China, click here.
For reasons why Trump’s haphazard trade war will not win the competition with China, click here.
For a deeper discussion of how badly we Americans have failed to plan our future, click here.
For an essay on Elizabeth Warren’s qualifications for the presidency, click here.
For comment on how not doing our jobs has brought us Americans low, click here.
To see how modern politics has come to resemble the Game of Thrones, click here.
For a discussion of the waste of energy and fossil fuels caused by unneeded long-range batteries in electric cars, click here.
For a discussion why Democrats should embrace the long campaign season and make no premature moves, click here.
For a discussion how Trump and Brexit have put the tree world into free fall, click here.
For a review of how our own American acts help create our president’s claimed “invasion” of Central American migrants, click here.
For a review of basic facts that must inform any type of universal health insurance, click here.
For a discussion of how the West’s fall and China’s rise affect the chances of our species’ survival, click here.
For a discussion of what the Mueller Report is and how its release could affect American politics, click here.
For a note on the Mueller Report as the beginning of a process, click here.
For comment on the special candidacies of Beto O’Rourke and Pete Buttigieg, click here.
For reasons why the twin 737 Max 8 disasters should inspire skepticism and caution with regard to potentially lethal uses of software and AI, click here.
For my message to Southwest Airlines on grounding the 737 Maxes, click here.
For an example of even the New York Times spewing propaganda, click here.
For means by which high-school teachers could help save American democracy, click here.
For a modern team of rivals that might comprise a dream Cabinet in 2021, click here.
For an analysis of the global decline of rules-based civilization, click here.
For a brief note on avoiding health lobbying Armageddon, click here.
For analysis of how to save real news and America’s ability to see straight, click here.
For an update on how Zuckerberg scams advertisers, click here.
For analysis of how Facebook scams voters and society, click here.
For the consequences of Trump’s manufactured border emergency, click here.
For a brief note on Colin Kaepernick’s good work and settlement with the NFL, click here.
For an outline of universal health insurance without coercion, disruption of satisfactory private insurance, or a trace of “socialism,” click here.
For analysis of the Virginia blackface debacle, click here.
For an update on how Twitter subverts politics, click here.
For analysis of women’s chances to take the presidency in 2020, click here.
For brief comment on Trump’s State of the Union Speech and Stacey Abrams’ response for the Dems, click here.
For reasons why the Huawei affair requires diplomacy, not criminal prosecution, click here.
For how Speaker Pelosi has become a new sheriff in town, click here.
For how Trump’s misrule could kill your kids, click here.
For comment on MLK Day 2019 and the structural legacies of slavery, click here.
For reasons why the partial government shutdown helps Dems the longer it lasts, click here.
For a discussion of how our national openness hurts us and what we really need from China, click here.
For a brief explanation of how badly both Trump and his opposition are failing at “the art of the deal,” click here.
For a deep dive into how Apple tries to thwart Google’s capture of the web-browser market, click here.
For a review of Speaker Pelosi’s superb qualifications to lead the Democratic Party, click here.
For reasons why natural-gas and electric cars are essential to national security, click here.
For additional reasons, click here.
For the source of Facebook’s discontents and how to save democracy from it, click here.
For Democrats’ core values, click here.
The Last Adult is Leaving the White House. Who will Shut Off the Lights?
For how our two parties lost their souls, click here.
For the dire portent of Putin’s high-fiving the Saudi Crown Prince, click here.
For updated advice on how to drive on the Sun’s power alone, or without fossil fuels, click here.
For a 2018 Thanksgiving Message, click here.
Links to Posts since January 23, 2017
Responsibility and Foreboding
In Memoriam: June 4, 1989
Infrastructure
Why Pelosi is Right
Roe, Roe, Roe your Boat . . .
The Huawei Tech Block: the NYT and the Trump Administration Get it Wrong
Ten Practical Reasons to Dump Oil as an Energy Source for Ground Transportation
Competition and Cooperation with China
Chaos is not a Plan
Make Plans, not War
Elizabeth Warren, Woman with a Plan
Not Doing Your Job
The Real Game of Thrones
Big “Gas Tanks” for Electrons
[Democrats, bide your time and] Don’t Eat Your Young (or Your Old)!
Free Fall [of the US under Trump and the UK under Brexit]
Why an “Invasion” from “The Triangle”?
Universal Health Insurance: Nine Points of Common Sense
Has the West Had It?
What Is the Mueller Report?
The Mueller Report: A Beginning, not an End
Could it Be Beto or Pete?
Software is Nonlinear: An Elegy for 346 Air Victims
The 737 Max Disasters
The New York Times Spews Propaganda, Too
How High-School Teachers Could Help Save American Democracy
A Modern Team of Rivals
The Decline of Rules-Based Civilization
Avoiding Health Lobbying Armageddon
Saving Real News
UPDATE: [Zuckerberg’s] Scam’s Other Dimension
Zuckerberg’s Scam
Crossing the Line [between constitutional democracy and dictatorship]
Colin Kaepernick’s Good Work
Universal Health Insurance: Medicare for All Who Want It
How Purity Subverts Strategy
Endnote: The Temptation of Twitter
Trump’s SOTU Speech and the Response
Who Can Beat Trump?
Why the Huawei Indictment is a Big, Big Deal
A New Sheriff in Town [Speaker Pelosi]
How Trump could Kill Your Kids
MLK Day 2019
The Downsides of Openness [and what we really ought ask of China]
Why the President and Congress Can’t “Get to Yes”
Mac Browser Wars: A Letter from the Front Lines
Experience and Speaker Pelosi
Why Natural-Gas and Electric Cars are Vital for our National Security
The “TMI Effect” and How to Save Democracy from Facebook
The Last Adult is Leaving the White House. Who will Shut Off the Lights?
What Makes a Democrat?
How Our Two Parties Lost their Souls
The Fate of Man [after Putin High-Fived MBS]
Sun-Powered Driving
Thanksgiving Message 2018
How Advocates are Destroying Global Society, with Facebook in Front
A Last Word to the Young [about the midterms]
You Can Help End Our Civil War [by your vote in the midterms]
How to Avoid Being Duped and Stay Sane
Apple: Please Spin Off OS X (An Open Letter to Tim Cook)
How I Voted and Why
Rampage of the Mind-Rapists
The Sham “Investigation”
Sixteen Reasons to Vote This Time for Democrats Only
The GOP’s Fork re Kavanaugh
Coda: Why and for Whom it’s Personal Now
How Important is Kavanaugh’s Alleged Attempted Rape?
President Obama: Hope versus Fear
The End [of Trumpism] Seems Nigh
A Time of Testing
Does Henry Ford Yet Live? Trump’s Deal with Mexico
John McCain: A Man of Honor
Stacey Abrams
Other Good Candidates and Causes
From the “I told you so!” Department: NYT Confirms How Primitive So-Called “AI” is Now
Twitter and Impulse Control
America’s Awakening
Danger, Men in Charge
Donation Crunch Time: the Geezers versus the Oligarchs
Two Under-Appreciated Threats to Modern Life [Dark money transfers and untraceable and undetectable assault weapons]
Waiting for the Crash
Reihan Salam
What Can CEOs Do?
Will America follow Ancient Rome Down History’s Drain?
A Post-Fourth Reprise [of the Trump and Obama Administrations]
Waging War With No Plan
Vote Character
North Korea Facts and Myth
Training New Voters II
Trump’s and Kim’s First Meeting
Trump and Kim, Stumbling toward Peace
Training New Voters
S.K.I.N and CRISPR: Two Ways Out of Stagflation
Voting Made Easy
¡Vive la France! [Emmanuel Macron’s speech before Congress]
How Dismal Is Economics Really?
The Race to 2043: Proving the American Idea
How American Capitalists Transferred Americans’ Jobs and Intellectual Property to China
Six Good Reasons to Delete Facebook
“AI” Hype
How Treasonous Fox Played Kim’s Game
Overkill [in nuclear weapons and guns]
Alpha-Male Rule
“Random”: the Rise and Fall of Facebook, Twitter and Perhaps American Society
The Dysfunctional States of America
Coda: Prayers and Condolences [versus gun control]
Majority Rule: What a Concept!
Do Good by Doing Well [Taking Profits]
Seven Reasons to Deploy Small Nukes
The Immigration “Fork”
Anticompetence and the Coming Crash
President Trump’s State of the Union Speech
Joe Kennedy’s Response
The Real Effect of Trump’s Solar-Panel Tariffs
NYT Buries Global Women’s March, Fox-Like
The New York Times Doubles Fox
Why Fox’ Propaganda is so Effective in the US
Hold that Image [of Trump’s racism]! Remember!
Effete Media II, or Why I Won’t (Yet) Subscribe to the New York Times
Happy MLK Day [2018]!
Effete Media
MAAA!
Treason, Dereliction of Duty, Common Law, and Common Sense
Pearl Harbor III
Ajit Pai: Taking Big Brother Private
The Fall of a Raging Bull [Roy Moore]
Inflation: Unanswered Questions
A Blue White House in 2020
A Progressive Manifesto
Seven Reasons Why Trump Could be Impeached and Removed Next Year
Why this White Geezer is Looking for Black and Brown Candidates to Support
Some Questions for Trump Voters
Emperor Trump, or Why Tillerson and the Generals Must Stay
America the Afraid
The Missing Element in a Progressive Revival: White Outrage
Black Protests, Hidden Reasons
Why the “Trump Bump” is Over
Plain Talk about Immigration
Avoiding War in North Korea
“Soft” Corruption Grips America
Gary Cohn and the Subtle Treachery of Self-Importance
A Tale of Two Wars
E Pluribus Unum
What Awaits Us: the “Prophecy” of Cause and Effect
North Korea: will we make a pre-emptive nuclear strike?
Ignorance and Incompetence: the Big Risks
How Business Schools Helped Ruin America, and What to do About it
Nero of our Time
The Free World’s Female Leader
Our Political AIDS Infection
How the Clintons Destroyed the Democratic Party
Lawless Life under “Corporate Governance”
An Open Letter to Registered Voters in Georgia’s Sixth Congressional District
Is Trump a Traitor?
The Other Mitch
Is the end nigh?
How to “investigate” and totally miss the point [of Putin’s intervention]
Trump’s “Threefer” [in firing Comey]
Killing the Brutes, not Millions of Innocents
Women versus Fox
Decaying Empire
Implications of Trump’s Syria Strike
The Internet’s Most Deadly Spawn: AI and “Weaponized,” Individualized Propaganda and Fake News
Government by Showmanship, Bumper Stickers, Tweets and Blame
Trump Two Months
Out
Health Insurance for Dummies
Warren 2020
Republican Labor Hypocrisy
General Michael Flynn: Truth Bats Last
Down Under
Who is Steve Bannon?
Trump as Magician-in-Chief
Contradictions [in Trump’s acts and policies]
How The Economist is Killing its Children
Trump’s inauguration
A GOP Takeover of PBS
MLK Day 2017
Grading Trump’s Presidency: Benchmarks
Blocking Jeff Sessions
Russia and our Policy toward it
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