For brief descriptions of and links to recent posts, click here. For an inverse-chronological list with links to all posts after January 23, 2017, click here. For a subject-matter index to posts before that date, click here.
Remember the old “
horseless carriages” at the dawn of the automobile age? Remember how they looked just like carriages for horses, but without the yokes and bridles? Something similar is happening to electric cars, as we try to model them on cars run on gasoline, which they are not.
I’ve written on
this general subject before. My earlier essay focused mostly on
ways to differentiate electric cars from oil-driven cars by adding specialized accessories, including some fanciful ones. Today’s essay is about an essential engineering difference between the two types of vehicles, which affects their relative efficiency and economic value. Failure to take it into account could stunt the growth of the electric-car industry and set back the fight against global warming.
The problem is easy to state, but it’s not so easy to see all the ramifications. “Gas tanks” for electrons, otherwise known as “batteries,” are orders of magnitude more massive and heavier than their counterparts for gasoline.
It’s hard to get precise figures because electric-car makers treat almost everything about their batteries as proprietary. And why not? The whole point of electric cars is that
there’s not much to them besides their batteries. Electric motors and generators have been around for a century, and the high-power solid-state electronics that controls the electric power and provides regenerative braking is mostly public-domain. A former battery researcher for Tesla, now working on long-life battery-run drones, has described a Tesla as a battery made in the shape of a car.
Yet despite all the secrecy, you can make some good estimates of battery mass/weight by comparing plug-in electrics with similar-size hybrid and gasoline cars. All today’s electric cars use lithium-ion battery technology, so all have roughly the same mass and weight per unit storage (kWh) or range (miles). All have roughly the same battery capacity per mile, namely, about three miles per kilowatt hour (kWh).
For
my own Chevy Volt, estimating the size of the main (high-voltage) battery is pretty easy. The Volt is built on the Chevy Cruze platform, which GM just discontinued along with its Lordstown plant. But you can still find useful curb weights on the Web. Here are the data:
2019 Chevy Cruze, entry level curb weight: 2,870 pounds
2019 Chevy Volt, curb weight, 3,453 pounds
The difference is 583 pounds. Like the Cruze, which is an all-gasoline car, the Volt itself contains a small internal combustion engine to run its generator when the battery runs out, plus a massive electric motor/generator. So the difference in weight between the two vehicles is a reasonable estimate of the weight of the Volt’s main (high-voltage) battery, namely, 583 pounds.
Now the Volt’s battery range, in summer, is 54 miles. Tesla and its competitors advertise ranges of 250 miles. So let’s extrapolate linearly, thus: 250/54 x 583 pounds = 2,699 pounds. Therefore, to extend my Volt’s 54-mile battery to a 250-mile range, we would have to add an estimated 2,699-583 = 2,016 pounds of battery, for a total estimated curb weight of 3,453 + 2,016 = 5,469 pounds. (Coincidentally, that’s not far from the
curb weights of some of the longer-range Teslas.)
That’s a lot of weight for what looks like a small car! In fact, the mass/weight of the Tesla’s (and equivalents’) long-range battery is almost as much as the entire mass/weight of a Chevy Cruze.
So when you drive a Tesla, you are likely carrying around with you a battery having the same mass/weight as an entire ICE car! You don’t notice much because Tesla’s engineers (like those of every other long-range electric car-maker) put all that mass/weight below the car’s center of gravity, where it
improves traction and cornering. But all that weight is an energy-burner nevertheless.
Contrast the average tanks of gas. A gallon of gasoline
weighs about 6.3 pounds. Ten or twelve gallons together—the usual tank size for a small car—weigh 63 or 75.6 pounds. Add fifty pounds or so for the metal tank itself, and they tote up less than 150 pounds. Compared to our estimate of 2,699 pounds for a 250-mile “electron tank,” that’s a factor of eighteen difference!
The first question this jarring comparison raises is, “Does everybody need that heavy a tank?” But before we answer that question, we need some engineering numbers. How much energy does dragging that heavy a tank around waste?
According to Newton’s First Law (inertia), it doesn’t take any energy at all to keep a mass going at constant velocity. But according to Newton’s
Second Law, it takes energy to accelerate a mass or move it uphill.
When you’re traveling at a constant speed, the only energy-wasting effects of that big a tank are things Newton didn’t consider in detail: air resistance and friction, including tire resistance. Air resistance doesn’t depend upon mass/weight, only the aerodynamic shape of the car. So we’re left with only four effects that depend on mass/weight: accelerating to speed, going up hills, friction and tire resistance.
According to physics, as outlined
in a footnote, lifting
my Chevy Volt up the big hill to Santa Fe should cost only 6.1% of the battery capacity. But in fact going up that hill lops 40% off my battery’s capacity. That’s the reliable drain on the battery driving the Volt up the big hill to town, confirmed on multiple trips.
When driving
down the very same big hill, over the same distance, the battery drops only an additional 20% in capacity. Again, that’s a reliable number confirmed over multiple trips. Averaged over several trips, the only difference between the two directions—40% loss going up and 20% loss doing down—is going up versus going down.
Basic physics tells us I get the gravitational potential energy of the car’s weight back on the downhill run. So the total losses on the runs both ways, up and down, are just the losses from frictional effects. That’s a total of 60% of battery capacity, on a 34 mile run, about what you would expect from a battery with 54-mile capacity (0.6 x 54 = 32.4).
With these simple calculations, based on actual experimental results, we can come to some useful conclusions. First, energy losses due to friction—air/wind resistance, mechanical friction, and tire rolling resistance—are a big deal. Together, at 60% of battery capacity, they dwarf the 6.1% that theory tells us hauling my car up the mountain requires.
Without specific aerodynamic calculations, we don’t know how frictional losses divide between those that depend on total vehicle weight (mechanical friction and rolling resistance) and those that don’t, namely, air resistance. In windy New Mexico, wind certainly matters. But even if we arbitrarily assign wind, which doesn’t depend on weight, to twice the impact of other forms of friction, we conclude that things that
do depend on weight account for at least 20% of battery depletion on the up-down run.
So here’s the question/problem posed by this post. Let’s say you use your electric car for 50 or so miles of travel on the average day. Let’s say you need more only a couple of days a month. And let’s say you charge up your car nightly by plugging it into your garage.
Which is better? Carrying around an extra two-thousand-pounds-plus of lithium battery, on the off chance you’ll use it a couple of times a month? Or carrying a couple of hundred extra pounds of mostly-unused internal combustion engine, plus three gallons of gas to run it for over 100 miles, when those three gallons plus tank weigh a total of less than seventy pounds?
At first glance, the extra battery seems the greater waste in weight and energy. That’s the reasoning that
ultimately impelled me to lease my Chevy Volt after an eleven-year dither.
The waste of energy from carrying a constant big-battery burden around may seem inconsequential if the energy to charge your car comes from carbon-neutral sources. For example, you might have your own solar array (
as I do) or windmill. Or the power company that charges your car might send you nuclear power, hydroelectric power, or the output of commercial solar arrays or windmills. Then you would still waste power, but it wouldn’t have any carbon footprint.
Yet if your own array or windmill is on the grid, your wasting your own clean energy may cause someone else to use electricity from fossil fuels. If the electricity from the power company that you use to charge your car
itself comes from fossil fuels, your habitual waste of energy in carrying around two thousand or so pounds of battery that you don’t normally use puts more carbon into the air.
It would make things easier if car makers would offer plug-in electrics with an array of ranges, not just the Volt’s 54 miles, the Leaf’s 73 miles and the Tesla’s and Bolt’s 200-250 or so. In my case, for example, it would help to have a car that could reliably go the 70 miles to or from Albuquerque (including back uphill) without burning fuel. But in cases of only
occasional extended-range use, it seems more environmentally sound to rely on a serial hybrid like the Volt than dragging-around a two-thousand-pound-plus millstone of excess electric battery every day.
The moral of this story is that gas tanks for electrons are
heavy. They are much heavier than extra gasoline and a small internal-combustion engine to extend range when needed. So in order to avoid the energy waste and carbon footprint that comes from dragging thousands of pounds of excess battery capacity around when you don’t need it, drivers should consider their lifestyle carefully before buying unneeded battery capacity.
To make that possible, electric-car makers should offer a wide range of plug-in battery capacities, perhaps using snap-together modules. They might even offer snap-
in battery modules that car owners themselves could add and remove when needed. The analogy between a gas tank and a battery, it turns out, goes only about as far as the old “horseless carriage” steering wheel, which
looked like a modified bridle.
Footnote: Whenever I drive my 3,453-pound Chevy Volt up the 851 feet hill to town, I use = 3,453 X 851 = 2.939 million ft-pounds of energy, which
converts to 3.984 x 10
6 joules. That’s 1.1 kilowatt hours, or about 6.1% of my Volt’s 18 kWh battery capacity. Theoretically, when I drive the Volt back down I get that energy back in the form of gravitational energy and regenerative braking, less some unknown inefficiency in the car's systems.
Links to Popular Recent Posts
For a discussion why Democrats should embrace the long campaign season and make no premature moves, click here.
For a discussion how Trump and Brexit have put the tree world into free fall, click here.
For a review of how our own American acts help create our president’s claimed “invasion” of Central American migrants, click here.
For a review of basic facts that must inform any type of universal health insurance, click here.
For a discussion of how the West’s fall and China’s rise affect the chances of our species’ survival, click here.
For a discussion of what the Mueller Report is and how its release could affect American politics, click here.
For a note on the Mueller Report as the beginning of a process, click here.
For comment on the special candidacies of Beto O’Rourke and Pete Buttigieg, click here.
For reasons why the twin 737 Max 8 disasters should inspire skepticism and caution with regard to potentially lethal uses of software and AI, click here.
For my message to Southwest Airlines on grounding the 737 Maxes, click here.
For an example of even the New York Times spewing propaganda, click here.
For means by which high-school teachers could help save American democracy, click here.
For a modern team of rivals that might comprise a dream Cabinet in 2021, click here.
For an analysis of the global decline of rules-based civilization, click here.
For a brief note on avoiding health lobbying Armageddon, click here.
For analysis of how to save real news and America’s ability to see straight, click here.
For an update on how Zuckerberg scams advertisers, click here.
For analysis of how Facebook scams voters and society, click here.
For the consequences of Trump’s manufactured border emergency, click here.
For a brief note on Colin Kaepernick’s good work and settlement with the NFL, click here.
For an outline of universal health insurance without coercion, disruption of satisfactory private insurance, or a trace of “socialism,” click here.
For analysis of the Virginia blackface debacle, click here.
For an update on how Twitter subverts politics, click here.
For analysis of women’s chances to take the presidency in 2020, click here.
For brief comment on Trump’s State of the Union Speech and Stacey Abrams’ response for the Dems, click here.
For reasons why the Huawei affair requires diplomacy, not criminal prosecution, click here.
For how Speaker Pelosi has become a new sheriff in town, click here.
For how Trump’s misrule could kill your kids, click here.
For comment on MLK Day 2019 and the structural legacies of slavery, click here.
For reasons why the partial government shutdown helps Dems the longer it lasts, click here.
For a discussion of how our national openness hurts us and what we really need from China, click here.
For a brief explanation of how badly both Trump and his opposition are failing at “the art of the deal,” click here.
For a deep dive into how Apple tries to thwart Google’s capture of the web-browser market, click here.
For a review of Speaker Pelosi’s superb qualifications to lead the Democratic Party, click here.
For reasons why natural-gas and electric cars are essential to national security, click here.
For additional reasons, click here.
For the source of Facebook’s discontents and how to save democracy from it, click here.
For Democrats’ core values, click here.
The Last Adult is Leaving the White House. Who will Shut Off the Lights?
For how our two parties lost their souls, click here.
For the dire portent of Putin’s high-fiving the Saudi Crown Prince, click here.
For updated advice on how to drive on the Sun’s power alone, or without fossil fuels, click here.
For a 2018 Thanksgiving Message, click here.
Links to Posts since January 23, 2017
[Democrats, bide your time and] Don’t Eat Your Young (or Your Old)!
Free Fall [of the US under Trump and the UK under Brexit]
Why an “Invasion” from “The Triangle”?
Universal Health Insurance: Nine Points of Common Sense
Has the West Had It?
What Is the Mueller Report?
The Mueller Report: A Beginning, not an End
Could it Be Beto or Pete?
Software is Nonlinear: An Elegy for 346 Air Victims
The 737 Max Disasters
The New York Times Spews Propaganda, Too
How High-School Teachers Could Help Save American Democracy
A Modern Team of Rivals
The Decline of Rules-Based Civilization
Avoiding Health Lobbying Armageddon
Saving Real News
UPDATE: [Zuckerberg’s] Scam’s Other Dimension
Zuckerberg’s Scam
Crossing the Line [between constitutional democracy and dictatorship]
Colin Kaepernick’s Good Work
Universal Health Insurance: Medicare for All Who Want It
How Purity Subverts Strategy
Endnote: The Temptation of Twitter
Trump’s SOTU Speech and the Response
Who Can Beat Trump?
Why the Huawei Indictment is a Big, Big Deal
A New Sheriff in Town [Speaker Pelosi]
How Trump could Kill Your Kids
MLK Day 2019
The Downsides of Openness [and what we really ought ask of China]
Why the President and Congress Can’t “Get to Yes”
Mac Browser Wars: A Letter from the Front Lines
Experience and Speaker Pelosi
Why Natural-Gas and Electric Cars are Vital for our National Security
The “TMI Effect” and How to Save Democracy from Facebook
The Last Adult is Leaving the White House. Who will Shut Off the Lights?
What Makes a Democrat?
How Our Two Parties Lost their Souls
The Fate of Man [after Putin High-Fived MBS]
Sun-Powered Driving
Thanksgiving Message 2018
How Advocates are Destroying Global Society, with Facebook in Front
A Last Word to the Young [about the midterms]
You Can Help End Our Civil War [by your vote in the midterms]
How to Avoid Being Duped and Stay Sane
Apple: Please Spin Off OS X (An Open Letter to Tim Cook)
How I Voted and Why
Rampage of the Mind-Rapists
The Sham “Investigation”
Sixteen Reasons to Vote This Time for Democrats Only
The GOP’s Fork re Kavanaugh
Coda: Why and for Whom it’s Personal Now
How Important is Kavanaugh’s Alleged Attempted Rape?
President Obama: Hope versus Fear
The End [of Trumpism] Seems Nigh
A Time of Testing
Does Henry Ford Yet Live? Trump’s Deal with Mexico
John McCain: A Man of Honor
Stacey Abrams
Other Good Candidates and Causes
From the “I told you so!” Department: NYT Confirms How Primitive So-Called “AI” is Now
Twitter and Impulse Control
America’s Awakening
Danger, Men in Charge
Donation Crunch Time: the Geezers versus the Oligarchs
Two Under-Appreciated Threats to Modern Life [Dark money transfers and untraceable and undetectable assault weapons]
Waiting for the Crash
Reihan Salam
What Can CEOs Do?
Will America follow Ancient Rome Down History’s Drain?
A Post-Fourth Reprise [of the Trump and Obama Administrations]
Waging War With No Plan
Vote Character
North Korea Facts and Myth
Training New Voters II
Trump’s and Kim’s First Meeting
Trump and Kim, Stumbling toward Peace
Training New Voters
S.K.I.N and CRISPR: Two Ways Out of Stagflation
Voting Made Easy
¡Vive la France! [Emmanuel Macron’s speech before Congress]
How Dismal Is Economics Really?
The Race to 2043: Proving the American Idea
How American Capitalists Transferred Americans’ Jobs and Intellectual Property to China
Six Good Reasons to Delete Facebook
“AI” Hype
How Treasonous Fox Played Kim’s Game
Overkill [in nuclear weapons and guns]
Alpha-Male Rule
“Random”: the Rise and Fall of Facebook, Twitter and Perhaps American Society
The Dysfunctional States of America
Coda: Prayers and Condolences [versus gun control]
Majority Rule: What a Concept!
Do Good by Doing Well [Taking Profits]
Seven Reasons to Deploy Small Nukes
The Immigration “Fork”
Anticompetence and the Coming Crash
President Trump’s State of the Union Speech
Joe Kennedy’s Response
The Real Effect of Trump’s Solar-Panel Tariffs
NYT Buries Global Women’s March, Fox-Like
The New York Times Doubles Fox
Why Fox’ Propaganda is so Effective in the US
Hold that Image [of Trump’s racism]! Remember!
Effete Media II, or Why I Won’t (Yet) Subscribe to the New York Times
Happy MLK Day [2018]!
Effete Media
MAAA!
Treason, Dereliction of Duty, Common Law, and Common Sense
Pearl Harbor III
Ajit Pai: Taking Big Brother Private
The Fall of a Raging Bull [Roy Moore]
Inflation: Unanswered Questions
A Blue White House in 2020
A Progressive Manifesto
Seven Reasons Why Trump Could be Impeached and Removed Next Year
Why this White Geezer is Looking for Black and Brown Candidates to Support
Some Questions for Trump Voters
Emperor Trump, or Why Tillerson and the Generals Must Stay
America the Afraid
The Missing Element in a Progressive Revival: White Outrage
Black Protests, Hidden Reasons
Why the “Trump Bump” is Over
Plain Talk about Immigration
Avoiding War in North Korea
“Soft” Corruption Grips America
Gary Cohn and the Subtle Treachery of Self-Importance
A Tale of Two Wars
E Pluribus Unum
What Awaits Us: the “Prophecy” of Cause and Effect
North Korea: will we make a pre-emptive nuclear strike?
Ignorance and Incompetence: the Big Risks
How Business Schools Helped Ruin America, and What to do About it
Nero of our Time
The Free World’s Female Leader
Our Political AIDS Infection
How the Clintons Destroyed the Democratic Party
Lawless Life under “Corporate Governance”
An Open Letter to Registered Voters in Georgia’s Sixth Congressional District
Is Trump a Traitor?
The Other Mitch
Is the end nigh?
How to “investigate” and totally miss the point [of Putin’s intervention]
Trump’s “Threefer” [in firing Comey]
Killing the Brutes, not Millions of Innocents
Women versus Fox
Decaying Empire
Implications of Trump’s Syria Strike
The Internet’s Most Deadly Spawn: AI and “Weaponized,” Individualized Propaganda and Fake News
Government by Showmanship, Bumper Stickers, Tweets and Blame
Trump Two Months
Out
Health Insurance for Dummies
Warren 2020
Republican Labor Hypocrisy
General Michael Flynn: Truth Bats Last
Down Under
Who is Steve Bannon?
Trump as Magician-in-Chief
Contradictions [in Trump’s acts and policies]
How The Economist is Killing its Children
Trump’s inauguration
A GOP Takeover of PBS
MLK Day 2017
Grading Trump’s Presidency: Benchmarks
Blocking Jeff Sessions
Russia and our Policy toward it
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