Diatribes of Jay

This blog has essays on public policy. It shuns ideology and applies facts, logic and math to social problems. It has a subject-matter index, a list of recent posts, and permalinks at the ends of posts. Comments are moderated and may take time to appear.

19 June 2026

Declaration of Independence II


En mass and online assembled, July 4, 2026

The Declaration of the People of the fifty united States of America,

When in the Course of human events, it becomes necessary for one people to dissolve the political bands which have connected them with an unfortunate leader, and to re-assume among the powers of the earth, the leading and respected station to which the Laws of Nature and of Nature's God entitle them, a decent respect to the opinions of mankind requires that they should declare the causes which impel them to the separation.

We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all people are created equal, that they are endowed by their genetics with innate Intelligence, which any just society must nurture to its full extent, and by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, among which are a Health, Education, Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness.--That to secure these rights, Governments are instituted among Men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed, --That whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government, laying its foundation on such principles and organizing its powers in such form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their Health, Safety and Happiness.

Prudence, indeed, will dictate that Governments long established should not be changed for light and transient causes; and accordingly all experience hath shewn, that mankind are more disposed to suffer, while evils are sufferable, than to right themselves by abolishing the forms to which they are accustomed. But when a long train of abuses and usurpations, pursuing invariably the same Object evinces a design to reduce them under absolute Despotism, it is their right, it is their duty, to throw off such Government, and to provide new Guards for their future security.

Such has been the patient sufferance of these United States; and such is now the necessity which constrains them to alter their former Systems of Government. The history of the present occupier of the White House is a history of repeated injuries, injustices and usurpations, all having in direct object the establishment of a personal Tyranny over these States and their People.

To prove this, let Facts be submitted to a candid world:

He has refused his Assent to Laws, the most wholesome and necessary for the public good. He has forbidden his Party Members to pass Laws of immediate and pressing importance, unless suspended in their operation till his Assent should be obtained; and when so suspended, he has utterly neglected to attend to them. He has refused to pass other Laws for the accommodation of large districts and groups of people, unless those people would relinquish the right of Representation in the Legislature, a right inestimable to them and formidable to tyrants only.

He has called together administrative bodies and personnel at places unusual, uncomfortable, and distant from the depository of their public Records, for the sole purpose of fatiguing them into compliance with his measures.

He has dissolved and decimated established Administrative and Military bodies repeatedly, and dismissed their Personnel, merely for opposing with courage and firmness his invasions on the rights of the people.

He has refused, for a long time after such dissolutions, to cause others to be elected or appointed, with the sole purpose of avoiding or delaying application of the usual Criteria and Experience for their offices; whereby the Legislative and Administrative powers, incapable of Annihilation, have returned to the People or the Legitimate Representatives at large for their exercise; the State remaining in the mean time exposed to all the dangers of invasion from without, and convulsions within.

He has endeavoured to prevent the population of these States by Foreigners eager, carefully examined and qualified for that role; for that purpose obstructing the Laws for Naturalizing Foreigners and their rights to due process; refusing to pass others to encourage their migrations hither, and raising the conditions of new Appropriations of Lands for public purposes and environmental preservation.

He has obstructed the Administration of Justice, by refusing his Assent to Laws for confirming and establishing Judiciary powers and by infringing repeatedly on the rights and powers of People and Officers duly established by Congress.

He has tried to make Judges dependent on his Will alone, for the tenure of their offices, and the amount and payment of their salaries and has endeavored to influence their decisions by repeated threats, public condemnation, personal pressure and even public prosecution for imaginary crimes.

He has appointed and relied on a multitude of family members and business acquaintances as advisors, and delegates to domestic and foreign political bodies, thereby circumventing established procedures and limits for delegating national powers to individuals.

He has sent hither swarms of Officers to harass our people, and eat out their substance.

He has kept among us, in times of peace, Standing Armies, allegedly for the purpose of controlling immigration, without the Consent of our legislatures.

He has affected to render the Military independent of and superior to the Civil power and has appointed grossly unqualified individuals to lead the Military and intelligence services for partisan political purposes.

He has combined with others to subject us to a jurisdiction foreign to our constitution, and unacknowledged by our laws; giving his Assent to their Acts of pretended Legislation:

For Dispersing large bodies of armed troops among us:
For condoning the attack of some 1,500 our own Capitol on January 6, 2021, with the intent to change our government unlawfully:
For protecting its perpetrators, by an indiscriminate pardon, from punishment for their Murders, assaults and other crimes which they committed on police lawfully protecting the Capitol, on bystanders, and on the offices, property and papers of the legitimate representatives of these States:
For cutting off our Trade with all parts of the world by means of repeated, haphazard, and inconsistent Tariffs and bans on imports and exports:
For imposing Taxes on the poorest and us, and relieving taxes on the richest of us, without our Consent, by dubious regulations and executive orders having no approval from Congress:
For depriving us, in many cases, of the benefits of Trial by Jury:
For trying our Citizens in the public sphere and the press and subjecting them to harassment, persecution and injury or death at the hands of unauthorized private parties:
For transporting allegedly unlawful immigrants beyond Seas to be tried for pretended offences:
For threatening to invade and abolish two independent neighbouring Provinces, with military action and occupation and the establishment of an unwanted government, and to enlarge our Boundaries by force or threat of force, without the consent of the people of those Provinces;
For taking away our Charters, abolishing or ignoring our most valuable Laws, and altering fundamentally the Forms of our Governments:
For attempting to suspend or suppress our own Legislatures in favor of rule by a single Executive, and declaring that Executive to be invested with power to legislate for us in all cases whatsoever.
He has abdicated Government here, by declaring People out of his favor, including racial and ethnic minorities and recent immigrants, and denying them Protection of the laws and our Government.
He has plundered the seas, ravaged the Coasts of foreign nations without a declaration of war or assent by Congress, burnt their towns, and destroyed the lives of their people.
He has at this time transported large Armies to compleat the works of death, desolation and tyranny, already begun with circumstances of cruelty & perfidy scarcely paralleled in the most barbarous ages, and totally unworthy the Head of a civilized nation.
He has constrained our fellow Citizens in our Armed Forces to execute people on the high Seas on mere suspicion of inimical or illegal action, and thus to commit crimes against Humanity and violate the Laws of War.
He has excited domestic insurrections amongst us, and has endeavoured to oppress the Native Americans among us, without regard to their rights and their crucial assistance in past world wars.

He has reduced our public discourse on critical issues of politics and State to the level of a barroom Brawl.

He has repeatedly threatened to use nuclear weapons, thereby risking species self-extinction.

He has consistently disparaged and attempted to outlaw the most modern, least costly and most pollution-free means of generating power, thereby exacerbating the threat of planetary heating and crippling our nation’s engineering and scientific advancement.

He has dismissed experts in science, technology, medicine, warmaking and military intelligence, throughout our national government, and replaced them with unqualified cronies, thereby impeding our nation’s scientific, technical, and economic advancement and endangering our national security.

In every stage of these Oppressions We have Petitioned for Redress in the most humble terms: Our repeated Petitions have been answered only by repeated injury. A Prince, whose character is thus marked by every act which may define a Tyrant, is unfit to be the ruler of a free people.

Nor have We been wanting in attention to our Constitution and our own fundamental law. We have warned the Tyrant and his cronies from time to time of attempts by them to extend an unwarrantable jurisdiction over us. We have reminded them of the circumstances of our own emigration and settlement here and the transcendent value and human rights of all our People, including past and present immigrants. We have appealed to their native justice and magnanimity, and we have conjured them by the ties of our common kindred to disavow these usurpations, which would inevitably interrupt our connections and correspondence. They too have been deaf to the voice of justice and of consanguinity. We must, therefore, acquiesce in the necessity that compels a Separation, and hold them, as we hold the rest of mankind, Enemies in Politics and War, in Peace Friends.

We, therefore, the Representatives of the United States of America, in General Congress Assembled, appealing to the Supreme Judge of the world for the rectitude of our intentions, do, in the Name, and by Authority of the good People of these United States, solemnly publish and declare, That these United States and their People are, and of Right ought to be Free, Independent and governed absolutely by their written Constitution; that they are Absolved from all duty to this self-declared tyrant, and that all political connection between them and him, is and ought to be totally dissolved; and that as Free and Independent States and people, they have full power, through their legitimately elected representatives, to terminate the oppressive and unlawful rule of this usurper, to impeach and remove him from office at the earliest opportunity, to send him to the Hague for prosecution for his Usurpations and Crimes against humanity, and to restore our Nation to its former greatness, adherence to law and its Constitution and the principles of the Enlightenment. And for the support of this Declaration, with a firm reliance on the protection of divine Providence, we mutually pledge to each other our Lives, our Fortunes and our sacred Honor.

Let us all sign here, please! [Note to readers: In drafting this document, I of course started with the original, as transcribed by our National Archives, here. I was surprised, if not astonished, to see how little I had to change to transform the list of legitimate grievances against King George III into those against Donald Trump.

Virtually all of the former have counterparts in the latter, except, of course, those based on the progress of Science (which was just beginning in 1776) and the too-slow interim extension of the Rights of Man to former slaves and Native Americans. The other thing that astonished me was how similar were the transgressions against humanity, justice, Reason, proper procedure, the rule of law, and democratic principles.

King George III probably did not suffer from the same abject stupidity, advancing senile dementia and malignant narcissism as Trump. At least King George’s narcissism was probably not much more striking than that of any king of his era. And King George III seems to have lacked the gross vulgarity, crudity and simplicity of our president. But isn’t the resemblance of the situation and the legitimate personal and societal grievances astonishing?

It remains to be seen whether our Congress, after the Midterms, can act half as courageously as our Founders, do its obligatory job and, with the aid of the several Republican senators whom Trump has made lame ducks, send this vile usurper packing. If not, our nation, with all its precarious wealth and erstwhile promise, will probably follow ancient Rome down into the dustbin of history, with characteristic “Warp Speed.”
]

17 June 2026

The Manhattan Project and AI: a Great Nation Coming Undone for Private Profit?


Our nation’s Manhattan Project developed nuclear weapons from nothing more than bare theoretical physics, plus a single experiment that proved nuclear fission possible. The Project did so in an extraordinarily short time: 957 days, or about 2.6 years. Our government kept it all so secret that virtually no one outside it knew of it. There was almost zero public notice, even during the short time between the visible first “Trinity” explosion at Alamogordo, NM, and the first use of a weapon on Hiroshima, Japan.

The Project was entirely run and financed by our government. The top dog, absolutely in charge (below President FDR), was an Army general with an engineering background named Leslie Groves.

Was he as smart as the brilliant nuclear physicists he managed? Probably nearly so. They respected him and followed his leadership because he was knowledgeable, a good “people person,” and a tough, practical manager. He was able to understand enough of the abstruse physics to do his job and to distinguish fundamental roadblocks from problems that just needed more people and more money to solve.

The scientific leader, Dr. J. Robert Oppenheimer, had similar skills. His mild personality and high intelligence gave him the respect of his fellow physicists, and he could understand the physics challenges in detail. So high a priority did our government give the Project that, at one time, ten percent of the nation’s entire electrical output was devoted to spinning the centrifuges that separated fissionable from non-fissionable Uranium for the Bomb.

Simply put, the Project was the greatest, most successful, and most successfully secret crash science/technology/military project in human history. It still is. And most historians and political thinkers still thank whatever God they believe in that the world’s foremost democracy, then imbued with and practicing Enlightenment values, got the Bomb first, instead of Adolf Hitler’s Third Reich.

Now let’s compare today’s development of AI. First of all, how important is AI?

At very least, it’s a world-beating advance on Egypt’s ancient Library of Alexandria—the first centralized collection of written work since writing had evolved from scratches on clay tablets to record deals in the marketplace. In theory, and mostly in practice, today’s AI is an index to all of humanity’s written knowledge (at least all in English and a few Roman-alphabetic languages). And it’s an index accessible to any literate person with online access, anywhere on Earth. Even non-English speakers can use it with the aid of Google Translate.

This is the closest our species has ever come to having a “hive mind.” Think of it. Anyone with a computer terminal or a cell phone—or even access to one—can reach the sum total of human writing, including access to great thinkers long dead!

There are downsides, of course. Not every recorded human thought is brilliant, let alone enlightened. The sum total of human writing contains a lot of false, rotten and even dangerous stuff. And today the total written output of all nine billion of us is exploding exponentially as many of us pound away at our keyboards (or now dictate into machines) and throw the results online.

AI mavens of course limit what goes into “training” their AI’s, both for economic reasons and to separate the wheat from the chaff. But that gives the people who select the training materials a lot of implicit power, doesn’t it? It raises again, in a different form, the old Roman question “Quis custodiet ipsos custodes?” or “Who will guard the guardians?” It’s eminently possible to push the hive mind gently, or even firmly, in one direction or another by carefully selecting what you feed it as training materials.

Is that going on today? I think so, if only inadvertently. Somehow I can’t see the “tech bros” as focusing as heavily on Greek, Enlightenment and Renaissance philosophers as they do on current events and stuff they personally value in their daily lives, if only because the latter categories have so much greater volume. And the volume is increasing exponentially as vastly increasing private crews expound on daily news and bloviate on social media. (One practical advantage of older materials for “training” purposes is that they have fallen out of copyright and thus are free of the influence of the big lawsuit in which copyright owners are demanding control over their content and/or royalties.)

Is there any chance that ancient wisdom will prevail over presently proliferating nonsense as time goes on? Or does it all depend, in the end, on what the tech bros and their assistants (both human and robotic) choose as “training” materials?

This is only one of the unintended consequences of AI. Another has been widely discussed: how do people—especially young people—learn anything personally when all of human “wisdom” is available to them online and nearly instantaneously? What’s the motivation to learn facts and history when all of that can be had for the asking? What’s the motivation to learn math, for example, when machines can do it for you faster and more accurately?

One answer, I think, is the philosophy I adopted as a professor of law. My job, I thought, was to teach students how to think, not what to think. That’s why I bent over backwards never to reveal my politics or even political philosophy to my students until after I retired. (To that end I kept my personal blog anonymous until then.)

But that was relatively easy to do in teaching law. In the US, law schools use the so-called “Socratic method,” in which professors pose the questions and students answer in class as called upon (with occasional volunteers). And the students give their answers, each day, based on a common set of assigned readings and their general knowledge accumulated in other courses and their earlier education.

Can you teach history, physics, biology, ethics, mathematics, etc. that way? I suspect so, but I can’t be sure because I’ve never tried.

The point here is simple but profound. How do you teach students to reason when all of recorded knowledge is available at their fingertips? When masses of facts and thoughts are available online that far exceed the capacity of the human brain, how do you teach students to select and absorb what matters? What matters enough to commit to memory? What skills require practice, and how do you inculcate their importance? How can you train students to think clearly when so many facts and events vie for attention, let alone with exotic half-clothed dancers distracting their attention in the margins of their screens? How do you inculcate the value of learning when almost anything worth learning can be had by “asking an AI”?

Aren’t these epistemological questions existential? As our daily news reflects, AI puts the entire subject of education, let alone evaluating students, up for grabs. At the end of the day, it puts the entire structure of society up for fundamental re-evaluation.

It also raises the risk that the bros who control the AIs and feed them with training materials can become a new isolated priesthood—a new ruling class—much like clerics in the Dark Ages. After all, they can influence, if not determine, not just how, but what, AI users think. AI can become a choke point for the general knowledge of a population far more powerful than the scriptures of old.

So now we come to the sharp point of this essay. The Manhattan Project was the greatest, most secret technological crash program in human history. Yet it was set up, run, and funded entirely by our government, ostensibly for the benefit of the entire population, and (given the dread possibility global Nazi supremacy) the world. In contrast, the development of AI has been left, by design or default, to a handful of tech bros and private companies, for their own enrichment and aggrandizement. That fact, along with other economic inattentions, is visibly leading to a Second Gilded Age more widespread and even more unequal than the first.

Is this appropriate for an ostensibly democratic, egalitarian society? Or is it the harbinger of a new age of aristocracy, oligarchy and sophisticated social control more dreadful and persistent than anything Orwell could imagine?

Finally, there’s the question of using AI as a weapon. Silicon chips “think” several orders of magnitude faster than human brains. So if you want to create malware to attack, subvert, or just shut off a rival nation’s computer systems and everything that depends on them, AI is by far the best way to see how. There’s probably no software program ever written (at least by human programmers) that is not vulnerable to hacking by AI.

Furthermore, hacking a rival’s or enemy’s computer systems is consistent with the mostly-unnoticed, recent fundamental changes in the nature of warfare. The current wars in Ukraine and in the Middle East are prime examples.

The days of vast armies marching across the empty countryside and into cataclysmic battles, or into big cities to occupy them, are waning. The last century’s two world wars were of that kind. So were the Korean War and our dreadful misadventure in Vietnam.

But the trend is clear, for two reasons. First, no one wants such wars anymore, and people who have a choice are more and more reluctant to fight in them. Second, as a practical matter, armies of humans are far too vulnerable. Things like tank busters and napalm from the air started the trend, and autonomous AI-controlled drones (as in Ukraine) have brought it to its logical conclusion. Even in tanks or humvees, humans are too slow, vulnerable and weak to fight the machines we can build. All human armies can do now is slaughter each other mechanically and autonomously. (This is one of many reasons why Secdef Hegseth’s physical preening and emphasis on physical fitness, let alone his tattoos, are so deeply misguided.)

The second trend is mostly unnoticed, at least in the military field: globalization. Global humanity is too interconnected economically for any assault on one part not to have repercussions on another part. The war in Ukraine demonstrated that fact, as Putin’s military assaults on its “breadbasket” imposed famine as far away as Africa and East Asia, leading to near-global economic pressure. Trump’s and Israel’s misguided war on Iran is an even better example: by cutting off the global flow of fossil fuels and maiming oil and gas infrastructure, the war imposed hardship on people around the globe as far away as Japan and China, including US drivers.

Even Trump, with an IQ that motivated legal action to keep his college grades and test scores secret, finally seems to have gotten the message. Sheer military force, let alone if applied indiscriminately, doesn’t work so well anymore. The larger its scope and the more indiscriminate its use, the broader its global (and unintended) economic impact. And the larger the political pushback from all corners of the Earth.

So our species is now entering a new era of military strategy that turns Von Clausewitz’ famous dictum on its head: economic pressure and politics are war by other means. Isn’t that precisely what’s happening now in the Middle East, if not also in Ukraine? Our slow-to-learn species is finally beginning to understand that we all live on the same planet.

If that is so, then hacking vulnerable computer systems fits right into the big picture. If you can bring a rival’s industry, transportation, communication and military systems to a halt, or to a state or relative impotence, without (directly) killing anyone, then doesn’t hacking become war by other means? And isn’t it actually preferable to wholesale slaughter?

If hacking, like autonomous drones, is the future of warfare, and if AI is by far the most effective and expeditious way to design and thwart hacks (and maybe to control drones), isn’t AI potentially the best focus for both defensive and offensive military effort? And, if that is so, what the hell is AI doing in the exclusive hands of fabulously wealthy and anomalously youthful tech bros, for their own financial aggrandizement, without carefully structured government supervision in the public interest?

Imagine an alternative history in which the Manhattan Project had been run by General Motors and the Rockefeller Trust. We’d probably all be speaking German. Guten tag! And New York, Chicago and maybe Dallas might have been like Hiroshima and Nagasaki.

With all his undeniable Irish charm, Ronald Reagan may have been our second worst president, despite encouraging Mikhail Gorbachev to “Tear down that wall!” He jet-propelled the trend among Americans to distrust their own government in favor of private greed. What a smart and stealthy way to build a durable oligarchy!

Now we are experiencing the consequences of that transformation. One of the most consequential technologies in human history is under the complete control of self-important and unregulated young men to use willy-nilly for their own profit and personal aggrandizement, without a thought to social, political or military consequences. (And all this is without regard to the ultimate risks of an AGI emerging or AIs starting an otherwise unprovoked nuclear war.)

Who elected them? And what could possibly go wrong?

In light of these facts, Trump’s feeble and belated attempts to keep at least the hacking-trained parts of that technology out of rivals’ hands appear justified, if not particularly effective. No doubt Leslie Groves and J. Robert Oppenheimer are rolling over in their graves, fast enough (if harnessed to generators) to help solve the coming AI-provoked electricity crisis.