For an essay on why we must compete peacefully with China and what we must do to win, click here. For an essay on Elizabeth Warren’s qualifications for the presidency, click here. For brief descriptions of and links to recent posts, click here. For an inverse-chronological list with links to all posts after January 23, 2017, click here. For a subject-matter index to posts before that date, click here.
Once upon a time, there was a nation called the United States of America. Its people were doers and problem solvers. They explored and settled a continent. They tamed the Mississippi. They discovered how mosquitos carried yellow fever and wiped out the mosquitos. They used vaccines to eradicate smallpox and measles.
They built the Erie Canal, the Transcontinental Railroad, and the Interstate Highways. They invented air travel and propagated it worldwide. They invented nuclear weapons but used them only to end humanity’s most terrible war. They put men on the Moon. They invented the Internet and saw it spread worldwide. They gave humanity personal computers and smartphones.
When disputes among their people arose, they settled them. When disputes became acute, they compromised or went to court. When the top court ruled, the losers sighed and accepted its decision. The government was far from perfect, but it worked. It did things.
No more. Some time during the reign of a grade-B actor named Ronald Reagan, pols began privatizing their sacred duties. They delegated them, and their own thinking, to “political operatives”—a motley crew of grifters, PR people, salesmen, advisors, propagandists and third-rate “thinkers.”
These worthies convinced pols that all that mattered was staying in office, not what they did while there. Pols’ lives became self-reinforcing exercises in deceiving themselves and their constituents. They spent most of their time and energy raising money for their next campaigns and the media propaganda required to maintain their deceptions.
Solving problems, their operatives told them, is not the thing to do. The thing to do is to stay in power. And the way to do
that, the operatives said, is to keep issues
alive, not resolve them. Maybe that’s why Trump just canceled negotiations with Democrats over rebuilding our infrastructure—the best way to give millions of skilled workers good, non-outsourceable jobs.
If you keep issues alive and refuse to resolve them, you will attract—and often enrage—a phalanx of committed voters. You will have a steady stream of support from single-issue extremists. You will have their money, too, so you won’t have to spend so much time on the phone making cold calls for cold cash.
Just kick the can continuously down the road, and you will have an inexhaustible reserve of intransigent support. That’s how you stay in power; never mind how you govern.
The epitome of this perversion of democracy is, of course, abortion. That’s not surprising: the issue is
tailor-made for indefinite discussion and non-resolution. It’s also an issue that doesn’t belong in
national politics at all: the criminal law that anti-abortion zealots use to try to stamp out abortion is primarily
state law. In the absence of consensus on the issue in Congress, the only effect national elections have on abortion is the rare chance for a president to appoint a Supreme Court Justice based on this single issue.
Imagine a professor of philosophy posing the question to college freshmen in a final exam. Which should prevail, the desires and life of the pregnant woman, or the nascent life of the fetus? A good professor would have no fixed answer in mind. Instead, he or she would grade students on their nuance and subtlety, their understanding how myriad additional facts can change the analysis, and their clever citation of great philosophers discussed in the course.
The operatives, of course, did no such thing. They propounded a single answer for all cases, regardless of facts and nuances. Their goal was not to resolve the issue or deal with it practically in all its complexity, but to provoke an ideological war. They wanted “clickbait” before there were clicks.
Abortion best motivates voters when it’s a constant irritant, like a burr in one’s shoe. Republicans treat abortion as “killing babies.” Democrats say forbidding it denies women autonomy and control over their own bodies. Both sides leave all the crucial nuances—things like, rape, incest, the mother’s age, health and circumstances, the fetus’ condition and viability, the father’s presence, condition and wishes—out of the discussion.
Back in 1973, before Reagan and the onslaught of Karl Rove and his clones, our Supreme Court had done what Americans used to do. In the case of
Roe v. Wade, it had tried to craft a practical solution. The pregnant woman’s wishes, it said, prevail until the fetus is viable outside the womb. Thereafter, the fetus has rights because it
could survive on its own if given the chance.
It was a simple, practical solution, but it didn’t last long. The rapid advance of medical science and technology made fetal viability a moving target. With
today’s technology, we can grow a fetus in a test tube, from the very moment of fertilization. So isn’t a fetus now “viable,” with some help from modern medicine, from the moment of fertilization, too?
The issue is ripe for “keeping,” not resolving, for yet another reason.
There is no scientific or medical consensus on when a human life begins. In science and in reality, both life and death are complex processes. Recall the
recent experiments provoking some activity in “dead” neurons from the severed heads of slaughtered pigs.
Religion stepped into the breach, taking the matter out of secular hands. But our First Amendment precludes establishing an “official” religion and gives everyone the right to practice his own. Anyway, if we let priests, pastors, rabbis and imams decide, we would have no general rule. And that approach, too, would deprive pregnant women and their doctors of the power to decide.
Finally, there’s the notion of “liberty,” which our Constitution guarantees us in its preamble and its Fifth and Fourteenth Amendments. Isn’t the right of a pregnant woman to decide whether to bear a child, in consultation with the child’s father, her family, her doctor, and her moral and religious advisers, the essence of “liberty”? But isn’t also the fetus’ right to live, at least if and when human? Does the concept of “liberty” shed any light on what’s right in a particular case?
The
Roe v. Wade Court tried to draw a line. Perhaps it should have refrained. Perhaps wisdom, then and now, lay and lies in restraint. Perhaps there’s no one-size-fits-all “solution” to this most personal and delicate of issues, dependent as it is on every detail of the actual facts and circumstances.
But that’s how the
Roe Court did rule. It declared a limited, constitutional “right” to abortion. In so doing, it not only made abortion a
political issue for keeping, not resolving, for the foreseeable future, and perhaps forever. It also gave pols an easy reason to forsake their duties, jump into bed with their sly operatives, and goad voters into manning the barricades rather than improving their day-to-day lives.
We can’t put the toothpaste back in the tube. Already Rove-like operatives have become a pack of hyenas. They have sunk their teeth into our political system as if it were a downed calf. Among the consequences are: a do-nothing Congress, a system dead in the water, an imperial presidency with the least qualified leader in our history, a divided and hateful public, and the indefinite prospect of more of the same.
Cui bono? Who benefits? Rove and his fellow operatives certainly did (See
this post and
this one.) They have proliferated like locusts, creating a new, well-paid and powerful profession, from nothing, in less than two generations. Many of them switch candidates and even parties like bettors picking horses at the racetrack. Perhaps
vultures are better metaphors than hyenas.
Of the two major parties, probably the GOP has gained more. Blanket opposition to abortion plays well in the outback where Trump won unexpectedly. It undoubtedly helped George W. Bush enough in his race against Al Gore to drop the race into the Supreme Court’s lap, where Bush won. My own anecdotal experience suggests as much, for a colleague of mine (a professor, no less!) confessed to voting for Bush primarily on the issue of abortion.
But our nation as a whole has lost egregiously. We don’t need two huge phalanxes of single-issue voters, let alone on an issue on which national elections have little or no direct effect. By oversimplifying an incredibly complex and nuanced issue, abortion has taught our electorate to shoot from the hip. It has also encouraged name-calling (“baby killers,” “misogynists”) and discouraged civil and rational discourse. If there is any single thing, prior to Trump’s presidency and the revival of white supremacy, that has wantonly cheapened and coarsened our national politics, it’s the elevation of abortion to a perennial national issue.
So what comes next? Here’s my fervent hope.
Let the new “conservative” Court deliver the
coup de grace. Let it overrule
Roe v. Wade as soon and as decisively as possible.
Let our electorate awaken from its nightmare of distracting and fruitless abstract ideological combat. Let voters see how the oligarchs have stolen the people’s jobs and patrimony, are blocking their future, are pillaging our land, air, water and wilderness, and are risking yet another unnecessary and potentially catastrophic war, this time with Iran. Let them see how their elected representatives have morphed from independent thinkers into lackeys groveling for money and controlled by third-rate, quasi-criminal minds. Let them see how they’ve been led around by the nose, with an issue of state law that presidents and members of Congress have little power to resolve. Let them understand, with full force, how deeply they’ve been duped.
However much the operatives on both sides want their single-issue voters to believe it, sustaining or overruling
Roe is
not ideological Armageddon. All overruling it would mean is that abortion would become illegal in some red states.
Clean and safe abortions will undoubtedly still be lawful on the West and East Coasts, in some Mountain states, in Canada, and in Mexico (which is not far from many of the reddest, most anti-abortions states). If supporters of women’s autonomy are concerned that poorer women in red states won’t have access to safe and legal abortions, they could form an organization to transport them to places where abortions are legal and see them through the procedures. The Constitution’s guarantees of state sovereignty and full faith and credit to all states’ laws, not to mention citizens’ privileges and immunities to travel freely among states, would keep them from being prosecuted on their return. That’s what our ancestors—who once were problem-solvers, not issue-hoarders—would have done.
According to the
Washington Post, 638,169 abortions were reported in 2015, the latest year for which good data are available. Relative to our national population of 328,830,848 (
estimated as of May 22, 2019), the political issue of abortion directly affected 0.2% of our population. (The issue may have
indirectly affected more people than the aborting women, for example, their men and parents. But an unknown number of aborting women, probably a majority, lived in or traveled to states with liberal laws and had no practical problems. In the absence of more detailed data, it’s safe to assume that the number of reported abortions is an upper limit to the number of pregnant women who had trouble with abortions derived from legal prohibitions.)
Let’s suppose (contrary to common sense) that every one of those 638,169 women had to travel to a get a clean, safe and legal abortion. According to Planned Parenthood, an abortion in the first trimester
costs from $350 to $950. That’s in the first trimester—the precise time frame in which
Roe originally protected abortion as a constitutional right. But let’s make our estimate “conservative” and, by taking the top first-trimester cost as the average, include some later abortions. Then let’s add $1,500 for the cost of round-trip air travel to and from a blue state (or Canada or Mexico) and a couple of a days in a reasonable but not shabby hotel. That sums to $2,450 per procedure, or 638,169 x $2,450 = $1.56 billion dollars.
In a $20
trillion economy, with a “t,” that’s a 0.008% problem. To put it in perspective, 10 million ardent pro-choice advocates could fund the whole thing with donations of $156 dollars apiece. Some of our leading multi-billionaires, such as Jeff Bezos, could fund it out of pocket change
Instead, we the people let the GOP operatives trick us into treating abortion as an issue of ideological Armageddon, rather than a practical problem to be solved practically. The best thing anyone who wants to see America great again could do is to put this issue behind us, once and for all. Having the
private sector fund abortions (and any necessary travel) for women who
who can’t afford them would do that, quietly and effectively.
Unfortunately, I don’t think that will happen. Over the last two generations, the GOP has become adept not just at “
applied philology,” the science of name calling and word-twisting. It has also become a master of distraction.
Except for pregnant women who consider and/or have them, the issue of
abortion is the mother of all distractions. It seems so simple
yet really is so complex. It has reduced many voters from thinking citizens to shouters at barricades. It has helped the oligarchs steal the nation’s substance and governance right out from under voters’ noses. It’s as important to the oligarchs’ plan for supremacy as are the many kinds of vote suppression and voter discouragement that Stacey Abrams describes in
her recent piece in the New York Times.
The key to understanding the
real role of abortion in our national politics is the extreme anti-abortion laws just passed in states like Alabama and Missouri. No Supreme Court Justice—not even Gorsuch or Kavanaugh—is going to let states criminalize ending a pregnancy resulting from rape or incest, or to save the life of the woman. That would be like encouraging Solomon to split the baby with his sword, right there in his audience chamber.
These extreme laws are dead on arrival in our courts. So why pass them? The purpose is not to “test”
Roe. Anyone who’s gone to law school knows how that “test” will come out.
The purpose of these impossibly harsh laws is distraction, pure and simple. If women and other voters focus on these obvious threats to women’s health care, autonomy and justice, they might not notice the vote suppression, tax theft, environmental degradation, effects of global warming, or wanton destruction of our safety net going on all around them. They might not notice how our war machine is gearing up yet again to make money for arms makers and to put immigrants who want to earn their spurs as citizens through yet another meat grinder.
So I don’t think
Roe will die by a single stroke. The oligarchs want the
issue, not the result. They want the distraction to continue.
Roe will die by a thousand cuts. The process will take years, keeping the issue and its distraction alive. The distraction will continue to energize rural and small-town voters, which form much of the GOP’s “base,” not to mention Dems who have trouble keeping their eyes on the ball. It’ll be the gift that keeps on giving, with nothing ever finally resolved.
One thing should be glaringly obvious. Trump, the oligarchs and the GOP operatives don’t really give a damn about abortion one way or the other. If they or their own women have an unwanted pregnancy, they can fly to England, Germany, Switzerland or Singapore and have a safe, clean and legal abortion, in luxury, at will. They can even have it in privacy and secrecy. They care about
the issue of abortion for one reason only: it distracts voters’ attention from their stealing the substance of this nation and tilting the playing field further against ordinary workers and citizens each and every day.
By the time
Roe falls, if ever, the oligarchs may have taken over completely, and the United States may be an empire, like ancient Rome in its latter days. Women may be much like the maids from
The Handmaid's Tale now used as protest icons. Or a second civil war may have started, with the aim of restoring real democracy to what remains of the United States.
Roe, Roe, Roe your boat, gently down the stream,
Merrily, airily, carelessly, mindlessly, voting’s just a dream.
Footnote: Perhaps the sole benefit of this appalling political trend is that the vulture class now offers equal opportunities for women. Don’t we all just love ladies like Hope Hicks, Kellyanne Conway, and Sarah Huckabee Sanders, with all their manifest intelligence, veracity and moral sensitivity? Who elected
them?
Links to Popular Recent Posts
For analysis of the Huawei Tech Block and its necessity for maintaining our innovative infrastructure, click here.
For ten reasons, besides global warming, to dump oil as a fuel for ground transportation, click here.
For discussion why we must cooperate with China and how we can compete successfully with China, click here.
For reasons why Trump’s haphazard trade war will not win the competition with China, click here.
For a deeper discussion of how badly we Americans have failed to plan our future, click here.
For an essay on Elizabeth Warren’s qualifications for the presidency, click here.
For comment on how not doing our jobs has brought us Americans low, click here.
To see how modern politics has come to resemble the Game of Thrones, click here.
For a discussion of the waste of energy and fossil fuels caused by unneeded long-range batteries in electric cars, click here.
For a discussion why Democrats should embrace the long campaign season and make no premature moves, click here.
For a discussion how Trump and Brexit have put the tree world into free fall, click here.
For a review of how our own American acts help create our president’s claimed “invasion” of Central American migrants, click here.
For a review of basic facts that must inform any type of universal health insurance, click here.
For a discussion of how the West’s fall and China’s rise affect the chances of our species’ survival, click here.
For a discussion of what the Mueller Report is and how its release could affect American politics, click here.
For a note on the Mueller Report as the beginning of a process, click here.
For comment on the special candidacies of Beto O’Rourke and Pete Buttigieg, click here.
For reasons why the twin 737 Max 8 disasters should inspire skepticism and caution with regard to potentially lethal uses of software and AI, click here.
For my message to Southwest Airlines on grounding the 737 Maxes, click here.
For an example of even the New York Times spewing propaganda, click here.
For means by which high-school teachers could help save American democracy, click here.
For a modern team of rivals that might comprise a dream Cabinet in 2021, click here.
For an analysis of the global decline of rules-based civilization, click here.
For a brief note on avoiding health lobbying Armageddon, click here.
For analysis of how to save real news and America’s ability to see straight, click here.
For an update on how Zuckerberg scams advertisers, click here.
For analysis of how Facebook scams voters and society, click here.
For the consequences of Trump’s manufactured border emergency, click here.
For a brief note on Colin Kaepernick’s good work and settlement with the NFL, click here.
For an outline of universal health insurance without coercion, disruption of satisfactory private insurance, or a trace of “socialism,” click here.
For analysis of the Virginia blackface debacle, click here.
For an update on how Twitter subverts politics, click here.
For analysis of women’s chances to take the presidency in 2020, click here.
For brief comment on Trump’s State of the Union Speech and Stacey Abrams’ response for the Dems, click here.
For reasons why the Huawei affair requires diplomacy, not criminal prosecution, click here.
For how Speaker Pelosi has become a new sheriff in town, click here.
For how Trump’s misrule could kill your kids, click here.
For comment on MLK Day 2019 and the structural legacies of slavery, click here.
For reasons why the partial government shutdown helps Dems the longer it lasts, click here.
For a discussion of how our national openness hurts us and what we really need from China, click here.
For a brief explanation of how badly both Trump and his opposition are failing at “the art of the deal,” click here.
For a deep dive into how Apple tries to thwart Google’s capture of the web-browser market, click here.
For a review of Speaker Pelosi’s superb qualifications to lead the Democratic Party, click here.
For reasons why natural-gas and electric cars are essential to national security, click here.
For additional reasons, click here.
For the source of Facebook’s discontents and how to save democracy from it, click here.
For Democrats’ core values, click here.
The Last Adult is Leaving the White House. Who will Shut Off the Lights?
For how our two parties lost their souls, click here.
For the dire portent of Putin’s high-fiving the Saudi Crown Prince, click here.
For updated advice on how to drive on the Sun’s power alone, or without fossil fuels, click here.
For a 2018 Thanksgiving Message, click here.
Links to Posts since January 23, 2017
The Huawei Tech Block: the NYT and the Trump Administration Get it Wrong
Ten Practical Reasons to Dump Oil as an Energy Source for Ground Transportation
Competition and Cooperation with China
Chaos is not a Plan
Make Plans, not War
Elizabeth Warren, Woman with a Plan
Not Doing Your Job
The Real Game of Thrones
Big “Gas Tanks” for Electrons
[Democrats, bide your time and] Don’t Eat Your Young (or Your Old)!
Free Fall [of the US under Trump and the UK under Brexit]
Why an “Invasion” from “The Triangle”?
Universal Health Insurance: Nine Points of Common Sense
Has the West Had It?
What Is the Mueller Report?
The Mueller Report: A Beginning, not an End
Could it Be Beto or Pete?
Software is Nonlinear: An Elegy for 346 Air Victims
The 737 Max Disasters
The New York Times Spews Propaganda, Too
How High-School Teachers Could Help Save American Democracy
A Modern Team of Rivals
The Decline of Rules-Based Civilization
Avoiding Health Lobbying Armageddon
Saving Real News
UPDATE: [Zuckerberg’s] Scam’s Other Dimension
Zuckerberg’s Scam
Crossing the Line [between constitutional democracy and dictatorship]
Colin Kaepernick’s Good Work
Universal Health Insurance: Medicare for All Who Want It
How Purity Subverts Strategy
Endnote: The Temptation of Twitter
Trump’s SOTU Speech and the Response
Who Can Beat Trump?
Why the Huawei Indictment is a Big, Big Deal
A New Sheriff in Town [Speaker Pelosi]
How Trump could Kill Your Kids
MLK Day 2019
The Downsides of Openness [and what we really ought ask of China]
Why the President and Congress Can’t “Get to Yes”
Mac Browser Wars: A Letter from the Front Lines
Experience and Speaker Pelosi
Why Natural-Gas and Electric Cars are Vital for our National Security
The “TMI Effect” and How to Save Democracy from Facebook
The Last Adult is Leaving the White House. Who will Shut Off the Lights?
What Makes a Democrat?
How Our Two Parties Lost their Souls
The Fate of Man [after Putin High-Fived MBS]
Sun-Powered Driving
Thanksgiving Message 2018
How Advocates are Destroying Global Society, with Facebook in Front
A Last Word to the Young [about the midterms]
You Can Help End Our Civil War [by your vote in the midterms]
How to Avoid Being Duped and Stay Sane
Apple: Please Spin Off OS X (An Open Letter to Tim Cook)
How I Voted and Why
Rampage of the Mind-Rapists
The Sham “Investigation”
Sixteen Reasons to Vote This Time for Democrats Only
The GOP’s Fork re Kavanaugh
Coda: Why and for Whom it’s Personal Now
How Important is Kavanaugh’s Alleged Attempted Rape?
President Obama: Hope versus Fear
The End [of Trumpism] Seems Nigh
A Time of Testing
Does Henry Ford Yet Live? Trump’s Deal with Mexico
John McCain: A Man of Honor
Stacey Abrams
Other Good Candidates and Causes
From the “I told you so!” Department: NYT Confirms How Primitive So-Called “AI” is Now
Twitter and Impulse Control
America’s Awakening
Danger, Men in Charge
Donation Crunch Time: the Geezers versus the Oligarchs
Two Under-Appreciated Threats to Modern Life [Dark money transfers and untraceable and undetectable assault weapons]
Waiting for the Crash
Reihan Salam
What Can CEOs Do?
Will America follow Ancient Rome Down History’s Drain?
A Post-Fourth Reprise [of the Trump and Obama Administrations]
Waging War With No Plan
Vote Character
North Korea Facts and Myth
Training New Voters II
Trump’s and Kim’s First Meeting
Trump and Kim, Stumbling toward Peace
Training New Voters
S.K.I.N and CRISPR: Two Ways Out of Stagflation
Voting Made Easy
¡Vive la France! [Emmanuel Macron’s speech before Congress]
How Dismal Is Economics Really?
The Race to 2043: Proving the American Idea
How American Capitalists Transferred Americans’ Jobs and Intellectual Property to China
Six Good Reasons to Delete Facebook
“AI” Hype
How Treasonous Fox Played Kim’s Game
Overkill [in nuclear weapons and guns]
Alpha-Male Rule
“Random”: the Rise and Fall of Facebook, Twitter and Perhaps American Society
The Dysfunctional States of America
Coda: Prayers and Condolences [versus gun control]
Majority Rule: What a Concept!
Do Good by Doing Well [Taking Profits]
Seven Reasons to Deploy Small Nukes
The Immigration “Fork”
Anticompetence and the Coming Crash
President Trump’s State of the Union Speech
Joe Kennedy’s Response
The Real Effect of Trump’s Solar-Panel Tariffs
NYT Buries Global Women’s March, Fox-Like
The New York Times Doubles Fox
Why Fox’ Propaganda is so Effective in the US
Hold that Image [of Trump’s racism]! Remember!
Effete Media II, or Why I Won’t (Yet) Subscribe to the New York Times
Happy MLK Day [2018]!
Effete Media
MAAA!
Treason, Dereliction of Duty, Common Law, and Common Sense
Pearl Harbor III
Ajit Pai: Taking Big Brother Private
The Fall of a Raging Bull [Roy Moore]
Inflation: Unanswered Questions
A Blue White House in 2020
A Progressive Manifesto
Seven Reasons Why Trump Could be Impeached and Removed Next Year
Why this White Geezer is Looking for Black and Brown Candidates to Support
Some Questions for Trump Voters
Emperor Trump, or Why Tillerson and the Generals Must Stay
America the Afraid
The Missing Element in a Progressive Revival: White Outrage
Black Protests, Hidden Reasons
Why the “Trump Bump” is Over
Plain Talk about Immigration
Avoiding War in North Korea
“Soft” Corruption Grips America
Gary Cohn and the Subtle Treachery of Self-Importance
A Tale of Two Wars
E Pluribus Unum
What Awaits Us: the “Prophecy” of Cause and Effect
North Korea: will we make a pre-emptive nuclear strike?
Ignorance and Incompetence: the Big Risks
How Business Schools Helped Ruin America, and What to do About it
Nero of our Time
The Free World’s Female Leader
Our Political AIDS Infection
How the Clintons Destroyed the Democratic Party
Lawless Life under “Corporate Governance”
An Open Letter to Registered Voters in Georgia’s Sixth Congressional District
Is Trump a Traitor?
The Other Mitch
Is the end nigh?
How to “investigate” and totally miss the point [of Putin’s intervention]
Trump’s “Threefer” [in firing Comey]
Killing the Brutes, not Millions of Innocents
Women versus Fox
Decaying Empire
Implications of Trump’s Syria Strike
The Internet’s Most Deadly Spawn: AI and “Weaponized,” Individualized Propaganda and Fake News
Government by Showmanship, Bumper Stickers, Tweets and Blame
Trump Two Months
Out
Health Insurance for Dummies
Warren 2020
Republican Labor Hypocrisy
General Michael Flynn: Truth Bats Last
Down Under
Who is Steve Bannon?
Trump as Magician-in-Chief
Contradictions [in Trump’s acts and policies]
How The Economist is Killing its Children
Trump’s inauguration
A GOP Takeover of PBS
MLK Day 2017
Grading Trump’s Presidency: Benchmarks
Blocking Jeff Sessions
Russia and our Policy toward it
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